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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

Resolves Jun 11, 2026·$52.1k 24h vol
$56.7k total volume·Open for 1 days

29°C

42%+15.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: what will the highest temperature of the day be in Hong Kong on June 11, 2026? The three options — 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C — each represent a one-degree band, and whichever range contains that day's peak temperature wins. In everyday terms, 27–29°C is warm but not extreme for Hong Kong in early June — roughly the feeling of a humid, summery afternoon. The market is essentially crowdsourcing a weather forecast for one specific day.

OutcomeYesNo
29°C
28°C
30°C
27°C
31°C
32°C
26°C
33°C or higher
23°C or below
24°C

Order Book

29°C

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢105$63
56.0¢240$134
55.0¢80$44
54.0¢50$27
51.0¢10$5
47.0¢75$35
46.0¢75$35
45.0¢45$20
44.0¢93$41
43.0¢47$20
57.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
40.0¢24$10
39.0¢28$11
38.0¢40$15
37.0¢49$18
36.0¢166$60
35.0¢22$8
34.0¢38$13
33.0¢100$33
32.0¢13$4
31.0¢60$19
$190 bids$425 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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29°C

42%