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Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?

Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$12.9k 24h vol
$12.9k total volume

84-85°F

33%+11.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, how hot will it get in Houston? Specifically, it's asking you to pick a temperature range — like 84–85°F or 86–87°F — that will match the single hottest reading of that day. Think of it as guessing where the thermometer peaks on one specific summer afternoon at Houston's Hobby Airport. The market currently leans toward 84–85°F (35%) and 86–87°F (31%) as the most expected outcomes, with cooler ranges considered less likely.

OutcomeYesNo
84-85°F
86-87°F
82-83°F
88-89°F
80-81°F
90-91°F
92-93°F
78-79°F
75°F or below
76-77°F

Order Book

84-85°F

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢6$3
45.0¢64$29
44.0¢9$4
43.0¢40$17
42.0¢24$10
41.0¢5$2
39.0¢5$2
37.0¢8$3
35.0¢56$20
33.0¢30$10
68.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
32.0¢28$9
28.0¢8$2
26.0¢84$22
24.0¢7$2
23.0¢82$19
19.0¢5$1
18.0¢5$1
15.0¢5$1
14.0¢5$1
13.0¢208$27
$84 bids$99 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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84-85°F

33%