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Highest temperature in Manila on June 12?

Highest temperature in Manila on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$27.2k 24h vol
$32.8k total volume·Open for 2 days

34°C

100%+56.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Manila? There are three possible answers — 34°C, 35°C, or 36°C — and whichever range the actual peak temperature falls into wins. In practical terms, 34°C feels like a very hot, sweaty day; 35°C is noticeably more intense; 36°C is the kind of heat that makes it hard to be outside at all. The market is simply trying to pin down which band that single daily high lands in.

OutcomeYesNo
34°C
27°C or below
28°C
29°C
30°C
31°C
32°C
33°C
35°C
36°C

Order Book

34°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢last trade
99.9¢300$300
99.8¢732$731
99.7¢600$598
99.6¢375$374
99.5¢400$398
99.1¢100$99
99.0¢210$208
98.0¢17$16
85.0¢40$34
84.7¢60$51
$2.8k bids$0 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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34°C

100%