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Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?

Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$22.9k 24h vol
$25.8k total volume·Open for 2 days

32°C

79%+53.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Manila get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at the airport weather station — and whether that peak lands at 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C. To put those numbers in physical terms: 33°C is about 91°F, a hot and humid tropical afternoon; 34°C (~93°F) is noticeably hotter; 32°C (~90°F) is still warm but slightly cooler than the typical Manila summer peak.

OutcomeYesNo
32°C
33°C
34°C
36°C
35°C
28°C or below
29°C
30°C
31°C
37°C

Order Book

32°C

PriceSharesTotal
96.0¢80$77
95.0¢62$59
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢40$37
92.0¢13$12
91.0¢7$6
90.0¢10$9
87.0¢138$120
86.0¢108$93
85.0¢16$14
15.0¢last trade
13.0¢ spread
72.0¢45$32
71.0¢246$175
20.0¢85$17
13.0¢10$1
11.0¢14$2
10.0¢555$56
9.0¢11$1
7.0¢36$2
4.0¢115$5
3.0¢200$6
$296 bids$441 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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32°C

75%