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Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?

Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$8.7k 24h vol
$12.3k total volume·Open for 1 days

31°C

41%+5.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Milan? The three leading options are 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C — roughly 86°F, 88°F, and 90°F. Think of it as a weather forecast turned into a guessing game: will it be a warm early-summer day, a hot one, or a genuinely sweltering one? The market currently leans toward 31°C being the most likely single answer, but the spread across the three options shows real uncertainty.

OutcomeYesNo
31°C
32°C
30°C
33°C
29°C
34°C
35°C
28°C or below
36°C
37°C

Order Book

31°C

PriceSharesTotal
79.0¢9$7
70.0¢5$4
49.0¢10$5
48.0¢55$26
46.0¢8$4
45.0¢30$14
44.0¢655$288
43.0¢810$348
42.0¢380$160
41.0¢105$43
41.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
40.0¢361$145
39.0¢472$184
38.0¢1.4k$543
37.0¢750$278
36.0¢5$2
35.0¢8$3
32.0¢121$39
31.0¢15$5
30.0¢16$5
29.0¢14$4
$1.2k bids$898 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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31°C

41%