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Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?

Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$12.1k 24h vol
$17.0k total volume·Open for 1 days

31°C

43%+6.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Milan get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day — the peak of the day's heat — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The three options are 30°C (86°F), 31°C (88°F), or 32°C (90°F). Think of it as predicting whether that afternoon in Milan will be a warm summer day, a hot one, or a very hot one.

OutcomeYesNo
31°C
30°C
32°C
29°C or below
33°C
34°C
35°C
36°C
37°C
38°C

Order Book

31°C

PriceSharesTotal
55.0¢13$7
52.0¢88$46
50.0¢15$8
49.0¢18$9
48.0¢25$12
47.0¢59$28
46.0¢1.5k$701
45.0¢2.1k$923
44.0¢185$81
43.0¢28$12
58.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
42.0¢116$49
41.0¢1.4k$593
40.0¢2.1k$840
39.0¢270$105
37.0¢23$9
35.0¢20$7
33.0¢4$1
32.0¢14$4
31.0¢5$2
30.0¢21$6
$1.6k bids$1.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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31°C

43%