← Markets
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?

Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?

Resolves Jun 16, 2026·$12.9k 24h vol
$12.9k total volume·Open for 1 days

28°C

33%+25.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 16, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Paris? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the right number from a small set of options — 28°C, 29°C, 30°C, and presumably others — where the winner is whichever option matches the actual peak temperature recorded that day. Think of it like guessing the high on a weather forecast, but for one specific day and one specific weather station near Paris.

OutcomeYesNo
28°C
29°C
27°C
30°C
26°C
31°C
25°C or below
32°C
33°C
34°C

Order Book

28°C

PriceSharesTotal
47.0¢50$24
46.0¢55$25
45.0¢42$19
44.0¢50$22
43.0¢112$48
42.0¢30$13
39.0¢83$32
38.0¢20$8
37.0¢42$16
35.0¢24$8
35.0¢last trade
7.0¢ spread
28.0¢11$3
27.0¢15$4
25.0¢12$3
24.0¢345$83
23.0¢60$14
22.0¢28$6
19.0¢150$29
16.0¢112$18
14.0¢397$56
11.0¢274$30
$245 bids$214 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

28°C

34%