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Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$27.2k 24h vol
$32.5k total volume·Open for 1 days

32°C

42%+25.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Shanghai get on June 12, 2026? Specifically, it's asking what the single highest temperature of the day will be, measured in whole degrees Celsius, at the weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. The three options — 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C — are the competing answers, and the market currently leans toward 32°C (roughly 90°F) being the peak temperature that day.

OutcomeYesNo
32°C
31°C
30°C
33°C
29°C
34°C
35°C or higher
28°C
25°C or below
26°C

Order Book

32°C

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢5$3
59.0¢100$59
56.0¢90$50
53.0¢40$21
52.0¢125$65
47.0¢8$4
45.0¢1.6k$742
44.0¢784$345
43.0¢267$115
42.0¢19$8
58.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
41.0¢177$73
40.0¢530$212
39.0¢562$219
38.0¢2.0k$760
37.0¢95$35
36.0¢8$3
31.0¢34$11
30.0¢50$15
28.0¢30$8
25.0¢30$8
$1.3k bids$1.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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32°C

42%