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Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$26.9k 24h vol
$30.6k total volume·Open for 1 days

26°C

39%+19.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like at Tokyo's Haneda Airport — specifically, will the peak temperature hit 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C? Those numbers translate to roughly 75°F, 77°F, and 79°F — warm late-spring days, the kind where you might wear a light jacket in the morning but not need it by afternoon. The market is essentially a temperature forecast, broken into three candidate answers, and participants are weighing in on which one lands.

OutcomeYesNo
26°C
25°C
24°C
27°C
23°C
28°C
22°C
29°C or higher
19°C or below
20°C

Order Book

26°C

PriceSharesTotal
69.0¢5$3
54.0¢59$32
53.0¢19$10
52.0¢30$16
45.0¢8$3
44.0¢8$3
43.0¢400$172
42.0¢466$196
41.0¢113$46
40.0¢160$64
40.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
38.0¢8$3
37.0¢124$46
36.0¢411$148
35.0¢1.2k$432
34.0¢108$37
33.0¢8$2
30.0¢259$78
29.0¢14$4
28.0¢6$2
23.0¢22$5
$756 bids$545 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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26°C

39%