← Markets
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$10.2k 24h vol
$10.2k total volume

22°C

33%+3.0%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like at Tokyo's Haneda Airport — specifically, which single degree Celsius will be the peak temperature recorded that day? The three leading options are 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C, which in everyday terms is a mild to warm late-spring day, roughly 70–73°F — not hot by summer standards, but comfortably warm. Whichever specific degree matches the official reading that day wins.

OutcomeYesNo
22°C
21°C
23°C
20°C
24°C
19°C
25°C
26°C
27°C or higher
17°C or below

Order Book

22°C

PriceSharesTotal
44.0¢87$38
43.0¢50$22
42.0¢10$4
41.0¢5$2
40.0¢70$28
39.0¢25$10
38.0¢55$21
37.0¢10$4
36.0¢10$4
34.0¢45$15
32.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
32.0¢5$2
31.0¢5$2
30.0¢10$3
29.0¢100$29
27.0¢50$14
26.0¢62$16
25.0¢7$2
23.0¢55$13
22.0¢20$4
20.0¢5$1
$85 bids$147 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

22°C

33%