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Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?

Resolves Jun 13, 2026·$14.4k 24h vol
$21.6k total volume·Open for 2 days

20°C

53%+19.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like in Warsaw? The three buckets are 20°C (about 68°F), 21°C (about 70°F), or 22°C and above (about 72°F or warmer). These are all fairly mild, pleasant summer temperatures — we're not talking about a heatwave versus a cold snap, but rather a narrow band of a few degrees on a single June day.

OutcomeYesNo
20°C
21°C
19°C
22°C or higher
18°C
17°C
13°C
14°C
15°C
16°C

Order Book

20°C

PriceSharesTotal
70.0¢27$19
69.0¢45$31
68.0¢45$31
63.0¢24$15
62.0¢20$12
61.0¢35$21
60.0¢5$3
59.0¢5$3
57.0¢17$10
56.0¢13$7
44.0¢last trade
8.0¢ spread
48.0¢23$11
47.0¢30$14
46.0¢26$12
43.0¢13$6
42.0¢42$18
35.0¢15$5
25.0¢15$4
23.0¢30$7
22.0¢6$1
19.0¢50$10
$87 bids$152 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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20°C

52%