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Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$10.2k 24h vol
$11.7k total volume·Open for 1 days

31°C

34%-1.0%

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Understand this market

This market is simply asking: how hot will Wuhan get on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it asks for the single highest temperature recorded that day at Wuhan's main airport weather station. The three options — 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C — are individual whole-number degree readings, not ranges. So the question is really: will the peak temperature that day be closer to a warm 29°C (about 84°F), a hotter 30°C (86°F), or a hotter still 31°C (88°F)?

OutcomeYesNo
31°C
30°C
32°C
29°C
28°C
33°C
34°C
35°C
27°C or below
36°C

Order Book

31°C

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢6$3
47.0¢96$45
46.0¢45$21
45.0¢10$5
44.0¢20$9
42.0¢25$11
41.0¢15$6
40.0¢30$12
38.0¢15$6
34.0¢47$16
34.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
33.0¢109$36
24.0¢65$16
23.0¢55$13
21.0¢26$5
20.0¢6$1
19.0¢20$4
13.0¢15$2
12.0¢20$2
10.0¢5$1
9.0¢384$35
$114 bids$132 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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31°C

34%