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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

Resolves Jul 19, 2026·$86 24h vol
$86 total volume

0

50%+2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
0
2
1
3
4
5
>5

Order Book

0

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢517$512
91.0¢100$91
88.0¢8$7
87.0¢400$348
77.0¢30$23
76.0¢245$186
57.0¢42$24
56.0¢27$15
50.0¢last trade
12.0¢ spread
44.0¢13$6
43.0¢357$153
41.0¢250$103
34.0¢21$7
33.0¢15$5
25.0¢400$100
7.0¢7$0
6.0¢750$45
$419 bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

0

50%