Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C
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Understand this market
This market is asking: when Hong Kong reaches its coldest point on the night of June 14, 2026, what temperature will that be? The three options are 25°C, 26°C, or 27°C — all quite warm, which makes sense because mid-June is deep into Hong Kong's hot, humid summer. A 'Yes' for any option simply means the overnight low lands within that one-degree band. The market currently leans toward 26°C as the most likely outcome, with about half of participants choosing it.
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26°C
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Read the full market guide →26°C
47%