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Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Resolves Jul 19, 2026·$905 24h vol·tech
$905 total volume

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

44%-4.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Order Book

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

PriceSharesTotal
88.0¢88$78
86.0¢7$6
85.0¢5$5
79.0¢2.0k$1.6k
78.0¢55$43
73.0¢50$37
70.0¢200$140
54.0¢40$22
53.0¢10$5
45.0¢30$14
3.0¢ spread
42.0¢103$43
37.0¢203$75
36.0¢45$16
33.0¢13$4
32.0¢1.3k$417
21.0¢18$4
20.0¢1.0k$200
15.0¢935$140
7.0¢15$1
6.0¢600$36
$937 bids$1.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 19, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

41%