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World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

Resolves Jul 20, 2026·$30.0M 24h vol·sports
$4.2B total volume·Open for 377 days

Spain

58%+41.9%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: which national soccer team will lift the World Cup trophy in 2026? The tournament is hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, and this is a multi-team market — France is currently the frontrunner at 39%, with England at 22% and Spain at 20%. A 'Yes' on any team means they win the whole tournament, final and all. A 'No' means that specific team was knocked out before the end. The remaining roughly 19% is spread across all other nations.

OutcomeYesNo
Spain
England
Argentina
France

Order Book

Spain

PriceSharesTotal
59.0¢137.2k$81.0k
58.8¢60.0k$35.3k
58.7¢2.0k$1.2k
58.6¢150.0k$87.9k
58.5¢2.0k$1.2k
58.4¢200.0k$116.8k
58.3¢375.5k$218.9k
58.2¢1.4M$795.6k
58.1¢last trade
0.1¢ spread
58.1¢647.1k$375.9k
58.0¢354.7k$205.7k
57.9¢1.0k$579
57.7¢205$118
57.4¢7.4k$4.2k
57.3¢3.3k$1.9k
57.2¢8.2k$4.7k
57.1¢1.0M$577.2k
$1.2M bids$1.3M asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Spain

58%