Bitcoin price on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the Bitcoin price be at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 20, 2026? There are three possible price ranges to choose from, roughly $62,000, $64,000, $64,000, $66,000, or $66,000, $68,000, and whichever range contains the actual price at that moment wins. Think of it like guessing which slot on a number line Bitcoin lands on at a specific snapshot in time. Settlement is decided by one specific data point: the closing price of the one-minute candle on Binance's BTC/USDT chart at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 20, 2026. Only Binance counts, other exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken are irrelevant here. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, it goes to the higher one. Any outcome outside all listed brackets resolves as No, so if Bitcoin is trading far above or below these ranges, no bracket wins. None of the provided news headlines are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price. The headlines cover topics like Indian stock markets, Samsung job cuts, and US military strikes on Iran. No Bitcoin-specific news was provided. For this market, the things worth watching would be major crypto regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, or significant moves in broader financial markets in the days leading up to July 20. Bitcoin's price is notoriously difficult to forecast even hours ahead, let alone days. The market currently prices the $64,000, $66,000 range as most likely at 61%, but crypto can swing several thousand dollars in a single day on unexpected news. Geopolitical events, like the ongoing US strikes on Iran mentioned in the news, can ripple into risk assets unpredictably. The specific noon snapshot adds another layer: even if Bitcoin is broadly in range, a sudden spike or dip right at that moment could shift everything.

The odds right now

• 64,000-66,00059%
• 62,000-64,00031%
• 66,000-68,0007%
• 60,000-62,0003%
• 58,000-60,0001%
• 68,000-70,0000%
• 70,000-72,0000%
• >72,0000%
• <54,0000%
• 54,000-56,0000%
• 56,000-58,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.