Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific one-week window? The range buckets — 160–179, 180–199, 200–219, and so on — each represent a possible total post count, and you are looking at which bucket the market thinks is most likely. To give you a sense of scale, 180 posts in seven days works out to roughly 25 posts per day, which is a very active but not unusual pace for Musk based on his historical behavior. A third-party tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com counts every qualifying post Musk makes between July 17 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time and July 24 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time — exactly seven days. Main posts, quote posts, and reposts all count. Replies do not count, unless a reply appears directly on his main feed rather than nested under another post. Deleted posts still count if the tracker captured them within roughly five minutes. Whichever post-count bucket matches that final number is the one that resolves as Yes. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Elon Musk's posting activity on X. There is no recent news here to draw on. The kind of development that would actually matter is anything that pulls Musk into a major public controversy or news cycle — those events have historically driven his posting volume sharply higher. Musk's posting volume can swing dramatically from week to week depending on what is happening in the news, in his businesses, or in his personal life. A quiet week might land in the 100s; a week where he is deep in a public argument could push well past 200. There is also a technical wrinkle: the exact rules about which posts the tracker captures — especially around main-feed replies — can affect the final count in ways that are hard to anticipate. The market is spread fairly evenly across three neighboring ranges, which itself signals genuine uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 180-19919%
• 200-21916%
• 160-17914%
• 140-15913%
• 220-23913%
• 120-1399%
• 240-2597%
• 260-2795%
• 280-2994%
• 300-3193%
• 80-992%
• 340-3592%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 17 12:00 PM ET to July 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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