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Elon Musk # tweets July 13 - July 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 13 - July 15, 2026?

Resolves Jul 15, 2026·$48.7k 24h vol·politics
$48.7k total volume

40-64

54%-6.5%

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Understand this market

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X over a 48-hour window, from noon on July 13 to noon on July 15, 2026? Yes and No don't apply here — instead, you're picking a range. The middle range (40–64 posts) is the most popular guess at 54%, meaning the market thinks a moderate level of activity is most likely. Under 40 would be a quiet stretch for him; 65 or more would be an unusually active two days.

OutcomeYesNo
40-64
<40
65-89
90-114
115-139
140-164
165-189
190-214
215-239
240+

Order Book

40-64

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢585$351
59.0¢591$349
58.0¢265$154
57.0¢89$51
56.0¢20$11
55.0¢72$40
54.0¢50$27
53.0¢20$11
53.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
52.0¢26$14
51.0¢126$64
49.0¢50$25
48.0¢195$94
47.0¢385$181
46.0¢70$32
45.0¢150$68
44.0¢642$282
$759 bids$993 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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40-64

55%