Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X over a 48-hour window — from noon on June 13 to noon on June 15, 2026? The three options are 40–64 posts, 65–89 posts, or 90–114 posts. To picture the scale: 40 posts over two days is roughly one post every 70 minutes; 90 posts is closer to one every 30 minutes. This is purely a count of his activity on his own platform over that specific stretch. A tracker tool at xtracker.polymarket.com automatically counts Musk's posts during the window and produces a final number. Whichever range that number falls into wins. Main posts, quote posts, and reposts all count. Replies generally do not — but a reply that appears on his main feed (not just in a thread) does count. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. The window is exactly 48 hours: June 13 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time to June 15 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time. The provided headlines touch on Musk-adjacent topics — a SpaceX IPO generating investor buzz and a Grok privacy ruling in Canada — but none of them directly signal how active he'll be on X during this specific two-day window. What would genuinely matter here is whether something major breaks in those 48 hours that pulls him into posting heavily, or whether it's a quiet news cycle where his feed stays calm. Musk's posting volume is genuinely unpredictable because it's driven by news, mood, and whatever catches his attention in the moment. The market currently puts the 40–64 range at 50% and 65–89 at 34%, suggesting most probability sits in the lower-to-mid range — but a single viral controversy or breaking news event in that 48-hour window could push the count much higher. There's also no way to know in advance whether he'll be traveling, distracted by business news like the SpaceX IPO, or unusually quiet.

The odds right now

• 40-6443%
• 65-8933%
• 90-11412%
• <409%
• 115-1392%
• 140-1641%
• 165-1890%
• 190-2140%
• 215-2390%
• 240+0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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