Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) in one specific week? The window runs from June 16 at noon Eastern Time to June 23 at noon Eastern Time — exactly seven days. The different outcome ranges (180–199, 200–219, 220–239, and so on) represent buckets of possible post counts, and the one that matches his actual total is the one that 'wins.' It's a counting exercise, not a question about what he says or does. At the end of the seven-day window, a tracker called xtracker.polymarket.com counts his posts automatically. Only original posts, quote posts, and reposts on his main feed count — replies do not, with one exception: if a reply appears on the main feed (not just in a thread), it does count. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. Whichever count range his total falls into is the one that resolves Yes; all others resolve No. The main recent news is that SpaceX held its IPO around June 13, 2026, and Musk reportedly became the world's first trillionaire as a result. That's a major personal and business milestone that would likely generate significant public attention and discussion — the kind of moment that historically leads Musk to post more heavily on X. Whether that surge carries into the June 16–23 window is the open question. Musk's posting volume swings dramatically week to week based on news cycles, his mood, travel, and what's happening in his businesses or politics. A single busy news day can add dozens of posts; a quiet stretch can keep totals low. The market's odds are spread fairly evenly across three neighboring ranges (16–18% each), which signals that even regular observers find his weekly count genuinely hard to pin down. There's also a small technical wrinkle: deleted posts only count if captured quickly, so very active-then-deleted bursts add noise.

The odds right now

• 200-21920%
• 180-19918%
• 220-23916%
• 240-25913%
• 160-1799%
• 260-2797%
• 280-2996%
• 140-1594%
• 300-3193%
• 120-1392%
• 320-3392%
• 340-3591%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 23, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 16 12:00 PM ET to June 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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