GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how much will it cost to rent one NVIDIA B200 GPU for one hour by the end of 2026? The B200 is one of the most powerful AI chips available right now, and cloud companies rent them out to businesses that need heavy computing power. The price brackets are in dollars per hour, so a price of $6.00, $6.50 means renting one B200 chip costs somewhere between six and six-and-a-half dollars every hour. The market is essentially a crowd forecast on where that rental price lands on December 31, 2026. The market settles based on one specific number: the Ornn B200 Index price recorded on December 31, 2026, as published on the Ornnai.com dashboard. Whatever price range that number falls into wins. One edge case worth knowing: if the number lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, say, exactly $6.50, it resolves to the higher bracket. If Ornnai hasn't published that day's data within seven calendar days after December 31, the most recent available data is used instead, and no later revisions are counted. None of the recent news provided is directly relevant to B200 GPU rental prices. The headlines cover topics like investment flows, Malaysian government policy, China's economy, and a robotics company, none of which speak to the GPU rental market specifically. The kind of news that would actually matter here includes announcements from cloud providers like CoreWeave, Lambda, or major hyperscalers about pricing changes, new GPU supply coming to market, or shifts in AI model training demand. GPU rental prices are genuinely hard to forecast because they sit at the intersection of several unpredictable forces. Supply depends on how fast NVIDIA can manufacture and ship B200 chips, a process sensitive to export rules, chip fab capacity, and geopolitics. Demand depends on how aggressively AI companies keep scaling their model training, which nobody can know for certain. The market's spread across several brackets reflects real disagreement: the top three outcomes together cover a wide $1.50 range, and no single bracket has majority confidence, which is an honest signal of how uncertain this is.

The odds right now

• $5.00-$5.50+10.1 pts (1w)28%
• $6.00-$6.50+14.0 pts (1w)27%
• $5.50-$6.00+6.5 pts (1w)14%
• $6.50-$7.00+9.0 pts (1w)13%
• $3.50-$4.00+3.5 pts (1w)8%
• $7.00+-13.0 pts (1w)8%
• $4.50-$5.00-11.5 pts (1w)6%
• $4.00-$4.50+1.3 pts (1w)5%
• $3.00-$3.50-2.7 pts (1w)3%
• <$3.00-2.1 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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