Highest grossing movie in 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking: which movie will make the most money at U.S. box offices across all of 2026? The three leading candidates right now are Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, and Toy Story 5. A 'Yes' for any one of them means it outsells every other film released in the U.S. that calendar year — not globally, just domestic ticket sales. The winner is determined by domestic U.S. box office earnings for the full calendar year 2026 — January 1 through December 31 — as reported on Box Office Mojo's 2026 yearly chart. Only money earned inside 2026 counts, so a film that opens in late December and earns most of its revenue in January 2027 gets no credit for that spillover. The market settles once final December 31 data is available, with a deadline of January 7, 2027. None of the provided news headlines relate directly to 2026 box office performance or the films in this market. There's no useful recent data here to point to. The kind of news that would matter: opening-weekend earnings reports, release date changes, or surprise blockbusters entering the race late in the year. The market heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 73%, so the main uncertainty is not really 'which of two equal sides wins' — it's whether something unexpected disrupts that lead. A movie's final gross depends on release timing, competition from other films, audience response, and whether a dark-horse title outperforms. Avengers: Doomsday at 14% is a real alternative. With half the year still to play out, surprises remain possible — but the market currently sees one clear frontrunner.

The odds right now

• Spider-Man: Brand New Day-4.0 pts (1w)73%
• Avengers: Doomsday+1.5 pts (1w)14%
• Toy Story 5+2.1 pts (1w)6%
• The Odyssey+0.4 pts (1w)3%
• The Super Mario Galaxy Movie-1.5 pts (1w)1%
• Dune: Messiah+0.1 pts (1w)1%
• Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Jumanji 3-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Wicked: For Good-0.2 pts (1w)0%
• Wuthering Heights-0.2 pts (1w)0%
• Scream 7-0.2 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. The exchange's settlement fee applies everywhere and is shown before you confirm any trade. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.