Highest temperature in London on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in London on June 16, 2026? The three options are 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C — roughly the difference between a mild summer afternoon and a genuinely warm one. To put it in physical terms: 24°C feels like a pleasant but not hot day (about 75°F), while 26°C feels noticeably warm and sunny (about 79°F). The market is essentially a vote on how warm that specific Tuesday in London turns out to be. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at London City Airport on June 16, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 25.7°C would count as 26°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 17 appears on that website. One thing to note: if the temperature falls outside the listed ranges entirely — say it hits 23°C or 27°C — those outcomes are not currently shown as options, which could affect how resolution works. The two recent news items provided — a helicopter collision in Brazil and a medical association dispute — have no connection to this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is UK weather forecasts for mid-June 2026, particularly any long-range outlooks or patterns indicating whether a warm or cool air mass is expected over England around that date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a few days out, let alone a year in advance. The three options are tightly clustered — just two degrees separates the lowest from the highest — so even a small shift in conditions changes the outcome entirely. June in London can swing from grey and cool to surprisingly warm depending on wind direction and cloud cover. The market currently splits its weight roughly between 25°C and 26°C, but that reflects historical averages and current guesswork, not a reliable forecast this far out.

The odds right now

• 26°C41%
• 25°C30%
• 24°C15%
• 27°C11%
• 23°C3%
• 28°C2%
• 22°C or below1%
• 29°C1%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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