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Highest temperature in London on June 16?

Highest temperature in London on June 16?

Resolves Jun 16, 2026·$13.4k 24h vol
$13.4k total volume

26°C

38%+18.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in London on June 16, 2026? The three options are 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C — roughly the difference between a mild summer afternoon and a genuinely warm one. To put it in physical terms: 24°C feels like a pleasant but not hot day (about 75°F), while 26°C feels noticeably warm and sunny (about 79°F). The market is essentially a vote on how warm that specific Tuesday in London turns out to be.

OutcomeYesNo
26°C
25°C
24°C
27°C
23°C
28°C
22°C or below
29°C
30°C
31°C

Order Book

26°C

PriceSharesTotal
49.0¢82$40
48.0¢56$27
47.0¢45$21
45.0¢19$9
44.0¢74$33
43.0¢5$2
42.0¢15$6
41.0¢25$10
40.0¢6.5k$2.6k
39.0¢113$44
60.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
36.0¢42$15
34.0¢70$24
33.0¢10$3
32.0¢46$15
31.0¢194$60
30.0¢15$5
29.0¢225$65
28.0¢34$10
27.0¢94$26
26.0¢24$6
$228 bids$2.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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26°C

38%