Highest temperature in Madrid on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Madrid on June 11, 2026? The three options are 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C — and you're picking which single degree reading will be the peak. In plain terms, 32°C feels like a hot summer day (about 90°F), 33°C is a bit hotter (about 91°F), and 34°C is genuinely sweltering (about 93°F). The market currently favors 33°C at 48%, meaning that's where most participants expect the thermometer to land. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Madrid's Barajas Airport weather station on June 11, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. Whichever option (32°C, 33°C, or 34°C) contains that final reading wins. One edge case worth knowing: the market waits until the first data point for June 12 appears before officially closing, so any last-minute corrections to June 11's readings within that window still count. The only recent headline provided is about SpaceX — completely unrelated to Madrid's weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch for is any medium-range weather forecast for central Spain in early June 2026, or reports of an unusual heat pattern or cold front approaching the Iberian Peninsula around that date. Weather prediction more than a few days out is genuinely hard, even for meteorologists with sophisticated tools. A single degree separates all three options — that's a razor-thin margin. A passing cloud, a shift in wind direction, or a slightly earlier evening cool-down could push the reading from 33°C to 32°C. June in Madrid is reliably warm, but 'reliably warm' doesn't tell you whether June 11 specifically lands on a hotter or cooler day within that range. The three-way split in the odds reflects that real uncertainty honestly.

The odds right now

• 33°C62%
• 32°C32%
• 34°C10%
• 31°C2%
• 35°C1%
• 30°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%
• 29°C0%
• 28°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.