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Highest temperature in Madrid on June 11?

Highest temperature in Madrid on June 11?

Resolves Jun 11, 2026·$29.5k 24h vol
$40.1k total volume·Open for 2 days

33°C

53%+5.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Madrid on June 11, 2026? The three options are 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C — and you're picking which single degree reading will be the peak. In plain terms, 32°C feels like a hot summer day (about 90°F), 33°C is a bit hotter (about 91°F), and 34°C is genuinely sweltering (about 93°F). The market currently favors 33°C at 48%, meaning that's where most participants expect the thermometer to land.

OutcomeYesNo
33°C
32°C
34°C
31°C
35°C
36°C
30°C
37°C
38°C or higher
28°C or below

Order Book

33°C

PriceSharesTotal
62.0¢47$29
61.0¢8$5
60.0¢105$63
59.0¢45$27
58.0¢60$35
57.0¢10$6
56.0¢390$218
55.0¢968$532
54.0¢112$60
53.0¢16$8
52.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
52.0¢5$3
51.0¢24$12
50.0¢1.0k$510
49.0¢1.3k$625
48.0¢242$116
47.0¢18$8
45.0¢50$23
42.0¢40$17
40.0¢60$24
39.0¢20$8
$1.3k bids$984 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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33°C

53%