Highest temperature in Miami on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, how hot will Miami get at its peak? There are three possible ranges — 86–87°F, 88–89°F, or 90–91°F — and whichever range contains the actual high temperature that day wins. It's essentially a thermometer bet on a single summer afternoon in Miami. The market currently splits most of its weight between the two warmer bands, with 88–89°F leading at 50% and 90–91°F close behind at 42%. On June 12, 2026, whoever runs this market will look up the official peak temperature recorded at Miami International Airport (station KMIA) on Weather Underground. Whatever whole-number Fahrenheit reading shows as the day's high falls into one of the three ranges, and that range wins. One small timing detail: the market waits until the first data point for June 13 appears before officially settling, to allow any same-day corrections to the temperature reading. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. No recent news was provided that's relevant to this market. That's pretty normal for a weather question more than a year away — there's nothing meaningful to report yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal forecasts for South Florida in early June, and any signs of unusual heat patterns in the Atlantic or Gulf region heading into that week. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than about two weeks out, let alone over a year away. June in Miami is reliably hot and humid, which is why the cooler range (86–87°F) gets only 8% — but the difference between 88°F and 91°F on any given afternoon can hinge on cloud cover, sea breeze timing, or a passing storm. None of those factors are knowable this far in advance. The market is not a coin toss — it leans clearly toward the two warmer bands — but within that, the gap between the top two options is genuinely open.

The odds right now

• 90-91°F54%
• 88-89°F42%
• 92-93°F6%
• 86-87°F3%
• 84-85°F0%
• 94-95°F0%
• 96-97°F0%
• 82-83°F0%
• 98°F or higher0%
• 79°F or below0%
• 80-81°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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