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Highest temperature in Miami on June 12?

Highest temperature in Miami on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$18.8k 24h vol
$22.0k total volume·Open for 1 days

90-91°F

55%+29.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, how hot will Miami get at its peak? There are three possible ranges — 86–87°F, 88–89°F, or 90–91°F — and whichever range contains the actual high temperature that day wins. It's essentially a thermometer bet on a single summer afternoon in Miami. The market currently splits most of its weight between the two warmer bands, with 88–89°F leading at 50% and 90–91°F close behind at 42%.

OutcomeYesNo
90-91°F
88-89°F
86-87°F
92-93°F
84-85°F
94-95°F
96-97°F
82-83°F
79°F or below
80-81°F

Order Book

90-91°F

PriceSharesTotal
70.0¢5$4
69.0¢25$17
67.0¢104$70
65.0¢10$7
64.0¢40$26
63.0¢90$57
60.0¢8$5
58.0¢650$377
57.0¢339$193
56.0¢20$11
53.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
53.0¢30$16
52.0¢134$70
51.0¢1.1k$541
50.0¢5$3
49.0¢50$25
48.0¢850$408
47.0¢8$4
46.0¢305$140
45.0¢92$41
42.0¢4$2
$1.2k bids$765 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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90-91°F

54%