Highest temperature in Paris on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of June 11, 2026 feel like at a specific weather station near Paris? The three options are 18°C (about 64°F), 19°C (about 66°F), or 20°C (about 68°F) — all fairly mild, typical of an early-summer day in Paris. Whichever single degree reading turns out to be the day's peak temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport wins. It's not a broad range — each option is just one degree, so this is a fairly precise call. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on June 11, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 12 appears on that site. Any corrections made before that cut-off count; corrections after do not. The three options listed are 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C — if the actual high falls outside all three, that option would win by default, so watch for that edge case. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The one news headline available is about Indian politics and has no connection to Paris temperatures. To follow this market, the thing worth watching is short-range weather forecasts for Paris in the days leading up to June 11, 2026 — those become meaningfully accurate about five to seven days out. Weather, even just a single day's high temperature, is genuinely hard to pin down far in advance — and June 11, 2026 is still over a year away. The market currently leans toward 19°C at 45%, but the three options are clustered within just two degrees of each other, which means a small shift in cloud cover, wind direction, or a passing weather system could easily tip the result. Long-range forecasts can't reliably predict a single degree this far out, so the uncertainty here is real and irreducible until the day itself.

The odds right now

• 19°C96%
• 20°C3%
• 21°C0%
• 14°C or below0%
• 15°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 17°C0%
• 18°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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