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Highest temperature in Paris on June 11?

Highest temperature in Paris on June 11?

Resolves Jun 11, 2026·$48.5k 24h vol
$61.6k total volume·Open for 2 days

18°C

60%+42.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of June 11, 2026 feel like at a specific weather station near Paris? The three options are 18°C (about 64°F), 19°C (about 66°F), or 20°C (about 68°F) — all fairly mild, typical of an early-summer day in Paris. Whichever single degree reading turns out to be the day's peak temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport wins. It's not a broad range — each option is just one degree, so this is a fairly precise call.

OutcomeYesNo
18°C
19°C
20°C
21°C
22°C
14°C or below
15°C
16°C
17°C
23°C

Order Book

18°C

PriceSharesTotal
77.0¢100$77
70.0¢5$4
69.0¢60$41
68.0¢50$34
67.0¢40$27
66.0¢40$26
65.0¢45$29
64.0¢8$5
62.0¢42$26
61.0¢56$34
59.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
59.0¢29$17
57.0¢5$3
55.0¢8$4
54.0¢8$4
53.0¢30$16
52.0¢10$5
51.0¢10$5
35.0¢163$57
20.0¢30$6
18.0¢11$2
$120 bids$304 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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18°C

42%