Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will it get in Seattle? Specifically, it's asking which two-degree range will contain the day's peak temperature — think of it like a guessing game for the afternoon high. A reading of 86°F, 87°F, 88°F, or 89°F would land in the two leading ranges, while anything hitting 90°F or 91°F would fall in the third. The market is currently split almost evenly between the mid-80s and high-80s. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (station code KSEA) on June 14, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the peak reading is that day — in whole degrees Fahrenheit — determines which range wins. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on the site. One thing to note: any late corrections to June 14's readings are only counted if they happen before that June 15 data point appears. The three headlines provided — about hypocrisy, education and CSS failures, and UAE foreign policy — have no connection to Seattle weather or this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is any extended forecast for Seattle around June 14, 2026, particularly whether a heat ridge or marine layer pattern is expected in the Pacific Northwest that week. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and a single day's high in Seattle is especially tricky because the city sits between cool ocean air and inland heat. A marine layer can hold temperatures in the low 80s; a shift in wind direction can push them past 90°F. The market reflects real uncertainty: the two leading ranges are nearly tied. Since we are still roughly a year away from the date, long-range forecasting adds very little precision — the outcome depends on conditions that haven't formed yet.

The odds right now

• 88-89°F38%
• 86-87°F37%
• 84-85°F9%
• 90-91°F7%
• 82-83°F3%
• 92-93°F2%
• 94-95°F0%
• 96°F or higher0%
• 77°F or below0%
• 78-79°F0%
• 80-81°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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