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Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?

Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$9.5k 24h vol
$10.6k total volume·Open for 1 days

86-87°F

43%+23.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will it get in Seattle? Specifically, it's asking which two-degree range will contain the day's peak temperature — think of it like a guessing game for the afternoon high. A reading of 86°F, 87°F, 88°F, or 89°F would land in the two leading ranges, while anything hitting 90°F or 91°F would fall in the third. The market is currently split almost evenly between the mid-80s and high-80s.

OutcomeYesNo
86-87°F
88-89°F
84-85°F
90-91°F
82-83°F
92-93°F
94-95°F
80-81°F
96°F or higher
78-79°F

Order Book

86-87°F

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢30$18
53.0¢12$6
52.0¢12$6
51.0¢17$9
50.0¢52$26
49.0¢16$8
48.0¢14$7
46.0¢62$29
45.0¢31$14
43.0¢5$2
59.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
42.0¢59$25
41.0¢44$18
37.0¢8$3
36.0¢10$4
35.0¢5$2
33.0¢5$2
32.0¢5$2
30.0¢38$11
29.0¢7$2
28.0¢16$4
$72 bids$125 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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86-87°F

42%