Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, how hot will it get in Shenzhen? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at Shenzhen's Bao'an International Airport weather station. The three possible answers are 31°C (about 88°F), 32°C (about 90°F), or 33°C (about 91°F) — and the market currently thinks 31°C is the most likely outcome, with 32°C also a real possibility and 33°C considered quite unlikely. This market settles based on one specific number: the peak temperature logged at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on June 11, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever whole-degree Celsius value is the highest reading of the day determines which option wins. The market won't officially close until the first weather data point from June 12 appears on that site — that's when the final daily high is confirmed. Any last-minute corrections to the June 11 data are allowed up until that moment, but not after. No specific recent news is available for this market. Because the event is over a year away, the most relevant things to watch for closer to the date would be seasonal weather outlooks for South China, and historical temperature records for Shenzhen in early June — which tend to be warm and humid, with highs often in the low-to-mid 30s. The main challenge is that precise daily high temperatures are genuinely hard to forecast even a week out, let alone more than a year away. Early June in Shenzhen is hot and humid, but daily peaks can vary several degrees depending on cloud cover, rain, and wind. The gap between 31°C and 32°C is just one degree — a small difference that's difficult to call in advance. The market leans toward 31°C at 77%, so the real question is mostly whether conditions push things slightly warmer than that.

The odds right now

• 32°C100%
• 34°C or higher0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 29°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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