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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?

Resolves Jun 11, 2026·$163.2k 24h vol
$170.1k total volume·Open for 2 days

32°C

100%+93.7%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, how hot will it get in Shenzhen? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at Shenzhen's Bao'an International Airport weather station. The three possible answers are 31°C (about 88°F), 32°C (about 90°F), or 33°C (about 91°F) — and the market currently thinks 31°C is the most likely outcome, with 32°C also a real possibility and 33°C considered quite unlikely.

OutcomeYesNo
32°C
31°C
33°C
34°C or higher
24°C or below
25°C
26°C
28°C
30°C
27°C

Order Book

32°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢1.4k$1.4k
99.8¢8$8
99.5¢last trade
0.3¢ spread
99.5¢1.7k$1.7k
99.3¢5$5
99.2¢472$468
99.1¢45$44
99.0¢100$99
98.0¢1.0k$980
90.0¢1.1k$963
85.0¢40$34
81.0¢20$16
80.0¢20$16
$4.3k bids$1.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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32°C

99%