Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Shenzhen, China? Specifically, it uses the weather station at Shenzhen's Bao'an International Airport. The three main options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — think of those as a warm day, a hot day, and a quite hot day. Whichever single temperature the station records as the day's peak is the one that wins. Mid-June in Shenzhen is deep into humid summer, so all three options fall within a realistic range. After June 15, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's official record for the Bao'an Airport station and reads the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. Whichever option — 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — matches that recorded peak is the one that resolves as correct. One important detail: the result isn't locked in until the first data point from June 16 appears on Weather Underground, because late corrections to June 15's readings are still accepted until that moment. No recent news was provided that relates to Shenzhen weather or this forecast. For a question like this, what would actually matter to watch is any meteorological outlook for southern China in mid-June 2026 — for example, whether a typhoon, monsoon surge, or unusual heat pattern is forecast for that week. Without that, the market is essentially working from historical temperature patterns for that time of year. Weather on a single specific day over a year away is genuinely hard to pin down. Even professional forecasters can't reliably predict an exact daily high temperature more than about two weeks out. June 15 falls in Shenzhen's hot, humid monsoon season, and daily highs can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, rain, or wind on that particular day. The three leading options — 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C — are all close together, meaning even a small change in conditions shifts the answer. That tight clustering is exactly what makes this difficult.

The odds right now

• 29°C36%
• 30°C33%
• 28°C17%
• 31°C14%
• 32°C or higher3%
• 27°C0%
• 22°C or below0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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