← Markets
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$19.9k 24h vol
$23.3k total volume·Open for 1 days

29°C

38%+16.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Shenzhen, China? Specifically, it uses the weather station at Shenzhen's Bao'an International Airport. The three main options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — think of those as a warm day, a hot day, and a quite hot day. Whichever single temperature the station records as the day's peak is the one that wins. Mid-June in Shenzhen is deep into humid summer, so all three options fall within a realistic range.

OutcomeYesNo
29°C
30°C
31°C
28°C
32°C or higher
27°C
22°C or below
23°C
24°C
25°C

Order Book

29°C

PriceSharesTotal
51.0¢73$37
50.0¢45$23
46.0¢15$7
45.0¢44$20
44.0¢20$9
43.0¢13$6
42.0¢10$4
41.0¢75$31
40.0¢445$178
39.0¢139$54
36.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
36.0¢159$57
35.0¢441$154
34.0¢618$210
32.0¢8$3
31.0¢306$95
30.0¢7$2
29.0¢16$5
28.0¢10$3
13.0¢60$8
12.0¢12$1
$538 bids$368 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

29°C

37%