Highest temperature in Wellington on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the single highest temperature of the day be at Wellington Airport in New Zealand? June is mid-winter in New Zealand, so temperatures are cool — the question is whether the day peaks at 13°C (about 55°F), 14°C (about 57°F), or 15°C (about 59°F). The market currently leans toward 14°C, with 13°C as the second most likely, and 15°C seen as quite unlikely. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Wellington International Airport on June 12, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. Whatever the single peak reading is that day — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — determines which option wins. One small thing to know: the market waits until the first data point from June 13 appears before it officially closes, so very late temperature revisions for the 12th could still count right up until that moment. None of the provided news headlines relate to Wellington weather or climate conditions for June 12. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter is a short-range weather forecast for Wellington for that specific date — something that only becomes useful a few days before June 12. Daily high temperatures are genuinely hard to pin down even with good forecasts. Wellington is famously windy and changeable — a single warm air mass or cold front passing through can shift the peak by a degree or two either way. The three options (13, 14, 15°C) are all within a very narrow band, so even a small weather surprise tips the outcome. Meaningful forecasts won't exist until a few days before the date, which is still about a year away, making this essentially a question about historical climate patterns right now rather than actual meteorology.

The odds right now

• 14°C100%
• 17°C0%
• 8°C or below0%
• 9°C0%
• 10°C0%
• 11°C0%
• 12°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 13°C0%
• 15°C0%
• 18°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.