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Highest temperature in Wellington on June 12?

Highest temperature in Wellington on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$32.9k 24h vol
$39.8k total volume·Open for 2 days

14°C

99%+50.9%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the single highest temperature of the day be at Wellington Airport in New Zealand? June is mid-winter in New Zealand, so temperatures are cool — the question is whether the day peaks at 13°C (about 55°F), 14°C (about 57°F), or 15°C (about 59°F). The market currently leans toward 14°C, with 13°C as the second most likely, and 15°C seen as quite unlikely.

OutcomeYesNo
14°C
15°C
8°C or below
9°C
10°C
11°C
12°C
16°C
17°C
13°C

Order Book

14°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢1.2k$1.2k
99.8¢45$45
99.0¢last trade
0.8¢ spread
99.0¢321$317
98.7¢78$77
98.5¢30$30
97.0¢5$5
85.0¢40$34
81.0¢20$16
80.0¢20$16
76.0¢20$15
75.0¢32$24
70.0¢80$56
$592 bids$1.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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14°C

100%