How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many World Cup games will Donald Trump physically attend in person? The current leader — sitting at 97% — is exactly 1 game. A 'Yes for 1' means Trump shows up to one match somewhere in the U.S., Canada, or Mexico. 'Yes for 0' means he never attends any game at all. There are also higher options (2, 3, etc.) that would reflect more appearances, though the market heavily favors just one visit. The market settles on a final count of games Trump attended in person — even being there for just part of a match counts. The source is credible news reporting, not an official announcement. If the tournament isn't finished by August 31, 2026, only the games he attended up to that date are counted. The World Cup runs through mid-July 2026, so the August 31 cutoff is a safety net that likely won't need to be used. None of the recent news provided relates to this market. The headlines cover the Strait of Hormuz, federal land policy, and a Senate appointment — nothing about the World Cup or Trump's travel plans. To move this market, the relevant thing to watch for would be news of Trump attending or skipping a specific match, or any official scheduling announcements tied to the tournament. At 97%, the market strongly expects exactly one attendance — but it isn't settled yet. The main uncertainty isn't really 'will he go or not'; it's whether he attends more than one game, or unexpectedly none at all. Presidential schedules can shift due to crises, security concerns, or political events. There's also mild ambiguity in the criteria: 'any part of the match' sets a low bar, but the count still depends on what reporters can confirm. The small 3% on zero reflects real, if unlikely, scenarios.

The odds right now

• 1+9.4 pts (1w)96%
• 0-2.1 pts (1w)3%
• 2-4.7 pts (1w)1%
• 3+-0.8 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the number of 2026 FIFA World Cup matches Donald Trump attends in person . If the world cup has not been completed by August 31, this market will resolve according to the number of games he has attended up to that point. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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