MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner

What you need to know

This market is asking: which specific baseball player will win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? The Derby is a competition held during MLB All-Star week where players compete to hit as many home runs as possible in a timed format — it's a pure power-hitting showcase, separate from regular games. A Yes on a player means that person wins the whole event; a No means they don't, whether they lose in a round, withdraw, or never compete. The market settles on whichever listed player is officially declared the winner by MLB on July 13, 2026. If a listed player withdraws or is disqualified before or during the event, their market resolves No immediately — even if they were a favorite. If the Derby is cancelled or delayed past July 27, 2026, the entire market resolves as 'Other' rather than Yes or No. MLB's official records are the final word. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market — they cover topics like agriculture, trade, and politics in other countries. There's no relevant Derby news to share here. The kind of news that would matter includes announced participant lineups, any player injuries affecting participation, or format changes MLB announces before the event. The Derby field isn't fully set yet, which is a major unknown — players can decline invitations or get injured before July 13. Even once the field is known, the format involves timed rounds with a strong element of variance: a hot few minutes can carry a lesser-known player to the title. The three leading names share only 56% of the market combined, meaning the crowd sees a wide-open contest where surprises are genuinely common.

The odds right now

• Kyle Schwarber23%
• Junior Caminero18%
• Munetaka Murakami14%
• Jordan Walker12%
• Jac Caglianone12%
• Bryce Harper10%
• Ben Rice10%
• Willson Contreras6%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.

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