"The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes): how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how much money the film 'The Odyssey' will earn in U.S. cinemas during its first weekend — specifically the three days of July 17–19, 2026. The brackets represent dollar ranges: the crowd favorite right now is $125–130 million, meaning most participants think the film opens to somewhere in that zone. A higher bracket winning would mean a stronger-than-expected debut; a lower one would mean a softer start. The market settles based on the official final domestic gross for the three-day opening weekend (July 17–19), as reported by the tracking site The Numbers. Crucially, it uses final figures — not the studio's early estimates, which studios sometimes release before real ticket sales are fully counted. If a number falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range wins. If final data isn't available by July 26, 2026, another trusted source steps in. None of the recent news provided relates to 'The Odyssey' or its box office performance. No relevant headlines were supplied. The kind of news that would matter here includes early tracking forecasts from industry analysts, Thursday preview night earnings, and any major reviews or audience scores released before or during opening weekend. Box office forecasting is genuinely difficult even for professionals. Early tracking estimates can shift significantly in the final days before release — a strong or weak Thursday preview night can move expectations fast. Competition from other films opening the same weekend, critic reception, and audience word-of-mouth all play a role. The spread across three brackets (roughly $120–135 million) reflects real disagreement. The market hasn't converged on a single answer, which itself signals meaningful uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 125-130m42%
• 120-125m21%
• 130-135m19%
• 115-120m11%
• 135m+6%
• <115m2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.