White House # posts July 10 - July 17, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will the official White House account post on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific seven-day window? A result of 180–199 posts means the account stayed in a moderate range of activity; 200 or more means it was unusually active; 160–179 means it posted less than usual. Think of it like tracking how many times an office sends out announcements in a week — the question is just whether that number lands low, medium, or high. The final count is settled by a third-party tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which automatically tallies every main-feed post, repost, and quote post the @WhiteHouse account makes between July 10 at noon ET and July 17 at noon ET — exactly seven days. Replies don't count unless they appear on the main feed. One important detail: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captured them within roughly five minutes of posting. If the tracker malfunctions, the market can fall back on X itself as the record. The news from this week suggests a very active period for the White House. Major topics include a new cybersecurity initiative, public statements on Iran's nuclear program, pressure on the Federal Reserve, claims about Iran seeking a deal during US strikes, and a Senate showdown over a defense bill. Each of these is the kind of high-profile story that typically drives a surge in official social media posts — announcements, responses, and reposts all add to the count. The market is closely split between the 180–199 and 200+ bands, with 53% vs 46%, so this is genuinely a coin-flip between two adjacent outcomes. The main uncertainty is simply the pace of news: one big diplomatic development or a slow holiday weekend can swing the weekly post count by dozens. Posting behavior can also shift unpredictably — a single busy day with many reposts can push the total over 200, while a quieter stretch pulls it back. There's no reliable formula for predicting a social media account's exact weekly output.

The odds right now

• 180-199+30.5 pts (1w)56%
• 200++3.5 pts (1w)42%
• 160-179-19.1 pts (1w)2%
• 140-159-13.9 pts (1w)0%
• 120-139-7.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 17, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 10, 12:00 PM ET and July 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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