White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will the official White House account post on X (formerly Twitter) in a specific seven-day window? The three options are the ranges where that total lands — under 180, between 180 and 199, or 200 and above. It has nothing to do with policy outcomes; it is purely about social media volume from one government account over one week. A third-party tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com counts every main-feed post, repost, and quote post from @WhiteHouse between July 17 at noon ET and July 24 at noon ET. Whatever number that tracker shows at the end determines the winning range. Replies don't count unless they appear on the main feed. Notably, deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes — so a post that goes up and comes down quickly can still add to the total. The provided headlines from July 15 show an active news environment around the White House — topics include Iran diplomacy, a new cybersecurity initiative, pressure on the Federal Reserve, and a Senate standoff over defense spending. A busy news cycle like this often correlates with higher posting volume, since the White House typically uses X to respond to and shape coverage of major stories. That said, news pace alone doesn't guarantee any specific posting count. The market is heavily skewed toward 200 or more posts, which the market currently prices at 68%. The main genuine uncertainty is whether that pace holds — posting volume can shift if the news cycle quiets, if there is a technical issue, or if the account's communication strategy changes mid-week. The criteria also have a small wrinkle: it is not always obvious which replies appear on the main feed and therefore count. These edge cases rarely swing outcomes but could matter if the final count lands right at a boundary like 200.

The odds right now

• 200+49%
• 180-19930%
• 160-1798%
• 140-1590%
• 60-790%
• 20-390%
• 40-590%
• <200%
• 80-990%
• 100-1190%
• 120-1390%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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