White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply counting how many times the official White House account on X (formerly Twitter) posts in a one-week window. A 'Yes' for the 180–199 range means the account posts somewhere between 180 and 199 times total — roughly 25 to 28 posts per day. That's the range the market strongly favors. The other options — 160–179 (a little quieter) or 200+ (unusually active) — are both priced near zero, meaning almost no one expects the count to land outside that middle band. The market settles based on a specific automated tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, which counts posts made by @WhiteHouse between noon ET on June 5 and noon ET on June 12 — exactly seven days. Regular posts, reposts, and quote posts all count. Replies do not count, unless they somehow appear on the main feed. One small surprise: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker caught them within about five minutes of being posted. If the tracker malfunctions, the market organizers may count posts directly from X instead. The news from June 12 covers a busy period for the White House — U.S.-Iran military exchanges, a UFC event at the White House, Trump health coverage, and Africa policy. All of these are the kinds of high-profile, fast-moving topics that typically drive heavy social media activity from official accounts. More active news cycles generally mean more posts, which is relevant context as the count approaches its final hours. The market is priced at 99% for the 180–199 range, so this is far from a coin toss — the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected pushes the count just outside that band. The ongoing U.S.-Iran situation is one wild card: a sudden escalation or de-escalation could cause a burst of posts that nudges the total past 200, or a pause in activity could pull it below 180. But with the window nearly closed and the odds this lopsided, the realistic question is just whether an outlier event happens in the final hours.

The odds right now

• 180-199+62.9 pts (1w)100%
• 200+-26.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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