Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: who will be holding the UFC Flyweight championship belt on December 31, 2026? The Flyweight division is the lightest weight class in men's UFC (fighters up to 125 pounds). A 'Yes' for any named fighter means that person is the undisputed champion on that specific date. It's not about who wins the most fights or who's most dominant — just who holds the belt at that one moment in time. The market settles on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time, based on whoever the UFC officially lists as Flyweight champion on their website at that moment. Only the undisputed, full champion counts — if someone wins an 'interim' belt (a temporary title sometimes created when the main champion is injured), that does NOT count. There's also an 'Other' outcome: if the belt is vacant — meaning no one holds it at that exact time — the market resolves to that option instead of any named fighter. None of the provided news headlines relate to UFC, the Flyweight division, or any of the fighters named in this market. There's no recent relevant news to point to here. What would matter to watch for: any announced title fights, injuries to current or contending fighters, or official UFC booking news for the second half of 2026. Several real sources of uncertainty make this genuinely hard to call. First, the odds add up to more than 100%, which tells you this is a multi-outcome market — multiple fighters can each have a meaningful chance. Titles change hands, rematches happen, and fights get rescheduled over an 18-month window. Injuries can remove a champion overnight. Kyoji Horiguchi competed in rival promotions for years, so his path back to the UFC belt has its own complications. A lot can change before December 2026.

The odds right now

• Joshua Van-2.5 pts (1w)53%
• Alexandre Pantoja+2.0 pts (1w)34%
• Kyoji Horiguchi-5.5 pts (1w)33%
• Manel Kape-15.2 pts (1w)25%
• Tatsuro Taira-0.1 pts (1w)24%
• Steve Erceg-0.1 pts (1w)2%
• Amir Albazi+0.4 pts (1w)1%
• Tim Elliott+0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Asu Almabayev-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Brandon Moreno0%
• Brandon Royval0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Related

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