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World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner: how this market works

93%sportsUpdated 3 min ago

What you need to know

This market asks: which player will finish third in goals scored at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? The Golden Boot goes to the top scorer, the Silver Boot to second place, and the Bronze Boot to third. A Yes on Bellingham means he ends the tournament with the third-highest goal tally among all players; a Yes on Oyarzabal means the Spanish striker does instead. It is purely about goals — not assists, not performance awards. The market settles on whoever FIFA officially names as the Bronze Boot winner after the tournament ends. If two players are tied for third in goals, FIFA's own tiebreaker rules decide it — and if those rules still produce a tie, this market picks whichever player's last name comes first alphabetically. The deadline is August 2, 2026; if the tournament is cancelled or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to 'Other' instead. One piece of news stands out: England reportedly beat France 6–4, which is a very high-scoring match. If Bellingham scored in that game, it would add to his tournament tally and help explain why the market prices him so heavily as the favorite right now. No other provided headlines relate to this market. The market is heavily one-sided — 95% on Bellingham — so the main honest question is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that. He could get injured, have a scoreless final matches, or another player could surge with a hat-trick late in the tournament. The Bronze Boot is especially hard to lock in before the final few games, because one big performance by any player in the remaining matches can reshuffle the third-place goal count entirely.

The odds right now

  • Jude Bellingham+68.8 pts (1w)93%
  • Mikel Oyarzabal+0.9 pts (1w)6%
  • Lionel Messi-13.1 pts (1w)0%
  • Kylian Mbappé-10.0 pts (1w)0%
  • Lamine Yamal-0.5 pts (1w)0%
  • Lautaro Martínez-0.7 pts (1w)0%
  • Álvaro Morata-2.5 pts (1w)0%
  • Julián Álvarez-0.2 pts (1w)0%
  • Ferran Torres-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

Jude Bellingham

93%+71.9%

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Bronze Boot award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • Jude Bellingham93%
  • Mikel Oyarzabal6%
  • Lionel Messi0%
  • Kylian Mbappé0%
  • Lamine Yamal0%
  • Lautaro Martínez0%
  • Álvaro Morata0%
  • Julián Álvarez0%
  • See all 9 outcomes →

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