World Cup: Player to score

What you need to know

Each of these three markets asks a simple question: will this specific player score at least one goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Just one goal, in any match, at any point in the tournament is enough for a Yes. If the player plays the entire tournament and never scores — or doesn't play at all — it resolves No. The three players listed are Michael Olise (France), Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain), and Lionel Messi (Argentina). The market settles Yes the moment the named player scores a goal in any World Cup match, from the group stage through the final — including stoppage time and extra time. Penalty kicks taken during a match count, but goals scored in a penalty shootout do not, and own goals do not count either. If the World Cup is cancelled or pushed past July 31, 2026, the market resolves No regardless of what happened before. FIFA's official records are the source of truth. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 World Cup or these players. The news that would actually matter here includes injury reports before the tournament, each player's form heading into the competition, and whether they are confirmed in their national team squads — those are the developments worth watching. All three players are priced around 86–87%, meaning the market sees a strong but not certain chance each one scores. The real risks are familiar to any football fan: injury before or during the tournament, a player being left out of the squad, poor form, limited playing time, or simply a run of bad luck in front of goal. A player can start every match and still not score. The closer the tournament gets, the clearer the squad and fitness picture will become — reducing some of that uncertainty.

The odds right now

• Mikel Oyarzabal+4.0 pts (1w)87%
• Lionel Messi+1.0 pts (1w)86%
• Michael Olise+10.5 pts (1w)85%
• Cody Gakpo+13.0 pts (1w)84%
• Christian Pulisic+11.5 pts (1w)83%
• Bruno Fernandes+7.0 pts (1w)83%
• Ferran Torres+16.0 pts (1w)83%
• Lautaro Martínez+4.5 pts (1w)83%
• Cristiano Ronaldo82%
• Julián Álvarez+0.5 pts (1w)82%
• Raphinha+3.5 pts (1w)82%
• Breel Embolo+9.5 pts (1w)81%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be considered. No goal scored by way of own goal or penalty shootout will be considered. A goal scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will count toward a “Yes” resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.