World Cup: Türkiye Stage of Elimination

What you need to know

This market is asking how far Türkiye goes in the 2026 FIFA World Cup — specifically, at which round their tournament ends. A 'Group Stage' result means Türkiye plays their opening three matches and gets knocked out before the knockout rounds even begin. 'Round of 32' means they survive the group but lose in the first knockout game. 'Round of 16' means they win one knockout match before being eliminated. There are also options for advancing further, all the way to Champion if they win the whole thing. The market settles based on whichever round Türkiye is officially eliminated from the 2026 World Cup, using FIFA's official records or credible reporting as the source. If Türkiye is disqualified or withdraws mid-tournament, it resolves based on the last completed round they reached. One edge case worth knowing: if the entire tournament is cancelled or postponed past August 2, 2026, the market resolves as 'Other' rather than any specific stage — so a catastrophic disruption would land differently than a normal elimination. None of the provided news headlines relate to Türkiye, football, or the 2026 World Cup. There is no relevant recent news to draw from here. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be Türkiye's group-stage draw results, their match performances once the tournament begins in June 2026, and any injury news affecting key players. The biggest challenge is that predicting a team's tournament run depends on many moving parts: who they draw in their group, injuries, form on the day, and the randomness of knockout football. The market currently puts a combined 82% chance on Türkiye going out in the group stage or Round of 32, reflecting that most national teams — even decent ones — do not advance far in an expanded 48-team field. But knockout football is genuinely unpredictable, and a single strong or poor performance can change everything quickly.

The odds right now

• Group Stage46%
• Round of 3235%
• Round of 168%
• Quarterfinals6%
• Semifinals3%
• Final1%
• Champion1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Türkiye is eliminated. If Türkiye wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Türkiye is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Türkiye based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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