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Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$9.6k 24h vol·politics
$9.6k total volume

December 31

33%+3.5%

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Understand this market

This market asks whether Andrew Tate will leave government custody before a specific date. There are two separate deadlines being tracked: July 31, 2026 (priced at 10%) and December 31, 2026 (priced at 30%). A Yes means he physically walks free, even if conditions like house arrest still apply. A No means he remains held by authorities past that date.

OutcomeYesNo
December 31
July 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢250$150
59.0¢71$42
50.0¢200$100
49.0¢39$19
40.0¢29$12
36.0¢250$90
35.0¢104$36
34.0¢706$240
33.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
31.0¢200$62
30.0¢101$30
29.0¢150$44
28.0¢150$42
27.0¢100$27
26.0¢150$39
24.0¢33$8
22.0¢10$2
$254 bids$689 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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December 31

33%